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The Cloward-Priven strategy is working.

Remember these points:
1. “Nothing in politics happens by chance”. — President Franklin Roosevelt
2. “Strategy is something that happens to you while you are looking the other way”. — President Franklin Roosevelt.
3. The illegal we do immediately; the unconstitutional takes a little longer.” –Secretary of State Henry Kissinger

The Cloward–Piven strategy is a political strategy outlined in 1966 by American sociologists and political activists Richard Cloward and Frances Fox Piven that called for overloading the U.S. public welfare system in order to precipitate a crisis that would lead to a replacement of the welfare system with a national system of “a guaranteed annual income and thus an end to poverty”.

Cloward-Piven Paradise Now?

August 1, 2011, American Thinker, By Jeannie DeAngelis
<http://www.americanthinker.com/2011/08/cloward-piven_paradise_now.html>
“Combine class warfare, demonizing the rich, getting as many people onto the welfare rolls as possible, and pushing the economic system to collapse and you have a flawless formula for Cloward-Piven 2.0 — and a vehicle that ensures Obama remains in power. Cloward-Piven is a much talked-about strategy proposed in the mid-1960’s by two Columbia University sociology professors named Richard Andrew Cloward and Frances Fox Piven. The Cloward-Piven approach was sometimes referred to as the “crisis strategy,” which they believed were a means to “end poverty.” The premise of the Cloward-Piven collective/anti-capitalist gospel decried “individual mobility and achievement,” celebrated organized labor, fostered the principle that “if each finally found himself in the same relative economic relationship to his fellows … all were infinitely better off.” The duo taught that if you flooded the welfare rolls and bankrupted the cities and ultimately the nation, it would foster economic collapse, which would lead to political turmoil so severe that socialism would be accepted as a fix to an out-of-control set of circumstances. The idea was that if people were starving and the only way to eat was to accept government cheese, rather than starve, the masses would agree to what they would otherwise reject. In essence, for the socialist-minded, the Cloward-Piven strategy is a simple formula that makes perfect sense; the radical husband-and-wife team had Saul Alinsky as their muse, and they went on to teach his social action principles to a cadre of socialist-leaning community organizers, one of whom was Barack Obama. As the debt crisis continues to worsen, President Obama stands idly by an inferno with his arms crossed, shaking his head, and doing nothing other than kinking the fire hose and closing the spigot. Spectator Obama is complaining that the structure of the American economy is engulfed in flames while accusing the Congress, which is trying desperately to douse the fire, of doing nothing about the problem. Although speculative, if the Cloward-Piven strategy is the basis of the left’s game plan, spearheaded by Alinsky devotee Barack Obama, it certainly explains the President’s inaction and detached attitude.

The greatest nation in the history of the world is teetering on the brink of a catastrophic economic crisis. America was pushed to this point by a rapidly-expanding national debt and a stressed-out entitlement system; in the center of this crisis is the President, who insists on expanding it even further, all in the name “fairness” and “social justice.” As a default date nears and the President threatens seniors that there’s a chance they may not receive their Social Security checks, it has been revealed that the federal government disperses a stunning 80 million checks a month, which means that about a third of the US adult population could be receiving some sort of entitlement. Since the 1960’s when Cloward-Piven presented a socialistic guideline to usher in the type of evenhandedness Obama lauds, America’s entitlement rolls have swelled from eight million to 80 million. If the nation’s ability to disperse handouts were ever disrupted, it’s not hard to see how chaos would erupt should an angry army of millions demand what Cloward-Piven called “the right to income.” Couple the threat of dried-up funds for food stamps, Social Security, unemployment benefits and the like with the Obama administration’s vigorous campaign to turn a tiny upper class of big earners into the enemy, and you have the Cloward-Piven recipe for anarchy and complete collapse. If the worst happened, Saul Alinsky’s biggest fan, whose poll numbers continue to plummet, could use mayhem in the streets to remain firmly ensconced in the White House. Alinsky taught his students a basic principle that community organizer Barack Obama learned well: “Never let a good crisis go to waste.” Fiscal disintegration coupled with lawlessness would deliver the type of Cloward-Piven/Saul Alinsky trifecta that progressives have worked toward and waited decades for…”

The Cloward/Piven Strategy of Economic Recovery
February 7, 2009, American Thinker, By Nancy Coppock http://www.americanthinker.com/2009/02/the_clowardpiven_strategy_of_e.html
“Using borrowed money for a band-aid bailout of the economy should seem backwards to most people. However, it likely is a planned strategy to promote radical change. Those naively believing that President Obama is simply rewarding his far-left base, and will then move to the political center, must wise up.

The assumption that Obama will need the nation to prosper in order to protect the 2010 mid-term election incorrectly assumes that he esteems free market capitalism. He does not. Rather than win through superior ideas and policies, the Democrat plan for success in the mid-term elections is to win by destroying political opposition. Obama adheres to the Saul Alinksy Rules for Radicals method of politics, which teaches the dark art of destroying political adversaries. However, that text reveals only one front in the radical left’s war against America. The Cloward/Piven Strategy is another method employed by the radical Left to create and manage crisis. This strategy explains Rahm Emanuel’s ominous statement, “You never want a serious crisis to go to waste.” The Cloward/Piven Strategy is named after Columbia University sociologists Richard Andrew Cloward and Frances Fox Piven. Their goal is to overthrow capitalism by overwhelming the government bureaucracy with entitlement demands. The created crisis provides the impetus to bring about radical political change. According to Discover the Networks.org:  Rather than placating the poor with government hand-outs, wrote Cloward and Piven, activists should work to sabotage and destroy the welfare system; the collapse of the welfare state would ignite a political and financial crisis that would rock the nation…[ Making an already weak economy even worse is the intent of the Cloward/Piven Strategy. It is imperative that we view the American Recovery and Reinvestment Plan’s spending on items like food stamps, jobless benefits, and health care through this end goal. This strategy explains why the Democrat plan to “stimulate” the economy involves massive deficit spending projects. It includes billions for ACORN and its subgroups such as SHOP and the Neighborhood Stabilization Program. Expanding the S-Chip Program through deficit spending in a supposed effort to “save the children” only makes a faltering economy worse. If Congress were to allow a robust economy, parents would be able to provide for their children themselves by earning and keeping more of their own money. Democrats, quick to not waste a crisis, would consider that a lost opportunity…”

Can it be? When you’re in a hurry to get somewhere socio-economically and the combination of Welfare, Food stamps, Medicare, and Social Security aren’t getting you there fast enough, you must additionally provide  welfare subsidies for the automobile industry, for the some of the worlds largest Financial Banks and even guarantee the solvency of foreign countries.

The Debt Walkers Strike Back
The Automatic Earth, 2 Dec 2011, by Ilargi
http://theautomaticearth.blogspot.com/
“It’s very simple, but maybe that’s the problem. For all I know it’s just too simple for people to see.

There’s a group of people, and it’s tempting to call them the 1%, but they’re not really, since there’s politicians in there too who have no shot at even aspiring to be part of the 1%, and media pundits and economists and what have you, who all together try to save the existing financial system at all cost. A cost that they don’t bear: that cost is being paid for by the 99%.

Theirs is just one particular view, one particular idea, of what it takes to get out of the crisis we’re in. Nothing more, nothing less: just one idea. But one that prevails over any alternatives to such a radical extent that, from an objective point of view, it can’t but boggle the mind.

“If we don’t save the banks and the financial system at large, there’ll be Armageddon to pay”. That’s the endlessly repeated prevailing line.
However, if we keep on spending ever more trillions to prevent Armageddon from arriving, surely we must invite it, by the very act of doing exactly that, to at some point come knocking on the back door. After all, you can’t spend more and more, and then some, without ever being served with the bill for doing so.

So we’ve had all these rescue missions over the past 5 years. Behemoth-sized amounts of taxpayer money and future taxpayer money have been poured into our economies in this alleged attempt to try to save them.

Now, take a step back and tell me what you see. I’ll tell you what I see: a financial system that is in worse shape than ever before during those 5 years. At least half of Europe is flat broke, most banks have lost 50%-80% of their market value, Bank of America, a major bailout

recipient, is fast on its way to becoming a penny stock, China sees shrinkage wherever it looks and Japan is rumored to be awkwardly close to the chopping block.

Evidently, something’s not working the way it’s supposed to.
And here is why: it is becoming clearer by the day that saving the banks is not the same as saving the people, upon whom increasing austerity is unleashed to pay for … saving the banks.

We have a choice to make: either we save the banks, or we save our societies. Which are falling apart as we speak on account of the costs of saving an already deeply bankrupt financial system.

But we’re not even starting to discuss that choice. All choices and decisions are being made -for us- in a one-dimensional vacuum theater by a small group of people who, to a (wo)man, flatly deny that such a choice needs to be made or even exists. Because making that choice doesn’t fit their purposes and careers and fortunes and ego’s.

Merkel, Blankfein, Sarkozy, Jamie Dimon, Obama, David Cameron, Mario Draghi and Timothy Geithner, they are all servants of the existing financial system, of the existing banks, which are broke but try to hide that from us. At our debilitating expense.

Yes, they’ve been able to stave off the inevitable until now. But that has only been possible because they have virtually unlimited access to your money, to the wallets of the 99%.

We should grow up and make these decisions ourselves, instead of letting a group of morally severely challenged suits with very vested interests make them for us any longer.

They’re leading us straight into Dante’s Ninth Circle of Hell. And last I heard, that’s definitely not a place to raise your kids.”

We intuitively know what the executives of the bailed out Financial Institutuions must feel. After costing the American people 10s if not 100s of billion$ of dollars and trillion$ in derivitive guarantees,  they reward themselves with 100,000$ if not million$ in payday bonuses. While they did not share in their largess during times of plenty, yet we were forced to pay their debt.

How do the people toward the lower end of the economic spectrum feel?
As a ‘retired person’ living in a retirement community, I see a lot of elderly folks and have heard a lot of hardship stories.
At present, if you are looking toward retirement there is nowhere to put your savings. Money is not safe due to inflation. Banks are not safe. Funds, stocks, bonds…
If you buy gold & silver bullion or US Mint bullion coins, for protection from inflation, and safety from bank and debt collapse, you will be fined with a huge tax. The Federal Government does not want your money placed in bullion since they have no access to using those funds. They don’t want you to have freedom in your old age, they want you on welfare-where you are controlled by the threat of loss.

Everyone sees the national ‘news’ media and interprets the sound bites into the management of their own unique circumstance. What are people at the real grass-roots learning and what are their community social-economic expectations? Don’t laugh at what follows, it is the result of what was discussed in the article above.
Is the Cloward–Piven strategy working yet? Yes, and we’re far along on the road to what Ilargi refers to as ‘Dante’s Ninth Circle of Hell’. When the ‘system’ finally breaks, it won’t be paradise, but conditions may make our new minimalistic Socialistic Government subsistence checks  look like it.

Mother of 15 Kids: “Somebody Needs to Pay; Somebody Needs to Be Held Accountable”
A woman with 15 kids (and no spouse) complains that people around aren’t doing enough to help her – even though her rent, food and furniture have all been covered by good Samaritans and the government. You have to see this to believe it!
“Somebody needs to be held accountable, and they need to pay,” she said.
Um, maybe that someone should be you?

Paste the following YouTube link in your browser.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bavou_SEj1E

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Professor Cornel West: Battle For Entitlements Will Be “Fought In the Streets”
December 5th, 2011, SHTFplan.com, by Mac Slavo  
With the economy on its last leg, poverty stricken Americans at record highs and mass movements against greed and interventionist government policies already organizing in major American cities, Princeton professor Cornel West predicts that the battle for entitlements will be fought in the streets.
[Image at right Professor Cornel West and President Barack Obama.]

“Some of this is going to be fought in the streets. Civil disobedience does make a difference. Because corporate greed now is an issue everybody’s got to talk about. Wealth equality – everybody’s must talk about because of the Occupy movement.” [What did we read in the articles above about the Coward-Priven startegy?- Mr Larry]

[Video link to Professor West’s interview. http://www.shtfplan.com/headline-news/professor-cornel-west-battle-for-entitlements-will-be-fought-in-the-streets_12052011  ]

Civil disobedience will only work until the people realize nothing has been done – and that nothing can or will be done. When they finally understand that politicians, bureaucrats and corporate interests have completely destroyed their way of life, then we can fully expect violent confrontations and mid-east style, potentially armed, riots in the streets of America.   This isn’t going away. In fact, the frustration, anger and desperation will continue to build pressure. Whether its the Tea Party movement, Occupy Wall Street, or other third-party protests, the momentum is gaining speed and strength.   When the powder keg finally blows all bets are off. We can only hope for civil disobedience. But considering what we saw happen in the mid-east, where many were protesting exactly the same circumstances – an out of control government, rising food prices and impoverishment of the working class, among other things – we should be preparing, as trend forecaster Gerald Celente has so oft predicted, for the people who have lost everything, and have nothing left to lose, to completely lose it.   The government is certainly preparing for this eventuality, because in many circles they know civil unrest is a foregone conclusion.

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The Escalation Ladder to War & Situational Awareness

(Survival Manual/2. Social Issues/Escalation Ladder & Situational Awareness)

A.  The Escalation Ladder to War
Conflicts are an integral part of human life. They are inevitable but also dynamic in their nature.
Escalation is the phenomenon of something getting more intense step by step, for example a quarrel, or, notably, a war between nations possessing weapon s of mass destruction.

The Escalation Ladder discussed below was a version created by Herman Kahn.
Herman Kahn was a strategic theorist who was cited as being the father of scenario planning during ‘The Cold War’ (1945-1990), he was also founder of the Hudson Institute think tank.  Mr. Kahn eventually developed a 44 rung Escalation ladder with fine nuances between the escalation rungs.

The 16 rung model discussed below has ‘lower resolution’, but gives a good idea how important an international conflict has become and how rapidly it is evolving.
This knowledge could give you days, weeks or longer to finalize emergency preparations.

By tracking and timing the model, you could, for example, buy an extra $100 worth of groceries, long-term freeze-dried and dehydrated food with every increase in escalation beginning at Rung 6, then put an additional $200 into other supplies with each increase, starting at Rung 8.
In this way you’d have an extra $1,000 in long-term food storage and another $1,000-$1,200 in other equipment: tent, 22LR rifle, propane stove, propane heater and spare tanks, candles, Porta-Pottie, etc. should an All Out War occur with an enemy who has civilization busting weapons.
The book  that I took the following table from was not  referenced-credited when it was copied into my journals during the mid 1980s, my pardon to the author. Books by Herman Kahn can be found at Amazon.com.

Awareness is a life style. You have to think about the unthinkable, keep it in the back of your mind at all times. Know your wildlife, your plants, the habits of predators (2 or 4 legged, crime laden neighborhoods, aggressive or questionable individuals or groups, spokesmen economists-popular politicians-talking head news media) and watch for changes in and from the normal. If the normal changes without obvious reason, something is wrong. Always assume that change will have a bad outcome for you. If you’re mistaken then you can feel good about being prepared and about good fortune. If you are right, you are prepared to survive.

——————————————— cut here ———————————————

The Escalation Ladder

Rung Response
1. Sub crisis Disagreement
2. Crisis
3. Political, Diplomatic & Economic Gestures
4. Show of Force
5. Modest Mobilization
6. Acts of Violence
7. Limited Military Confrontation
8. Intense Crisis
9. Limited Evacuation
10. Super Ready Status
11. Controlled Local War
12. Spectacular Show of Force
13. Limited, Non Local War
14. Complete Evacuation
15. All Out War
16. Aftermath

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The Progression of Events

Rung 1- Sub crisis Disagreement
Opposing sides have a disagreement in opinion, they may still be polite; however, the possibility of escalation is introduced.

Rung 2 – Crisis
Features:
a)  Vague or implicit threats are made
b)  You may expect explicit announcements or speeches.
c)  There are officially inspired newspaper stories.
d)  The press may have angry outbursts against the other side.
e)  There is speculation regarding possible military measures.
* Current issues must be solved or there will be further escalation.

Rung 3 – Political, Diplomatic & Economic Gestures
Herein occur actions which may not only hurt economically, but also politically, in as much as they can lead to popular dissatisfaction with the government.
a)  Recall your ambassador
b)  Refuse negotiations on other issues.
c)  Make overtures to the other side’s enemies.
d)  Denounce a treaty.
e)  Make a legal or economic reprisal.
f)  Start a violent publicity campaign.
g)  Increase conspicuous military maneuvers.
h)  Encourage “spontaneous” public demonstrations.

Rung 4 – Show of Force
Make it clear that violence IS NOT unthinkable. Move ships and aircraft around, mobilize the reserves, carry out provocative exercises. This step begins mobilizing one’s own resources.
a)  Indirect show of force: Increase the draft call, test fire missiles, conduct maneuvers.
b)  Direct show of force: Mass troops in a certain area, move ships to a certain area.
* As the public becomes involved, “punish the enemy” cries will be louder than before.

Rung 5 – Modest Mobilization
This phase normally begins with the cancellation of leaves and discharges in the military service. This is accompanied by any of the following measures:
a)  Public and official statements.
b)  Failure to phase out obsolete equipment.
c)  Cancellation of previous cuts in arms expenditures.
d)  A modest increase in the budget.
e)  Increased conscription.
f)  Possible preparation in rural areas to receive evacuees.

Rung 6 – Acts of Violence
Incidents are manufactured which are designed to harass, violate, discredit, frighten, confuse, harm, or weaken the enemy. For example:
a)  Enemy nationals are arrested.
b)  Embassies are stoned or raided.
c)  Bombs may be dropped by unauthorized or anonymous planes, there might be ‘over flights’.d)  Terrorism, kidnapping and assassination of important persons.
e)  Paramilitary actions.
f)  Soldiers on the border may be shot at.
g)  There is an increase in intelligence and reconnaissance.

Rung 7 – Limited Military Confrontation
As pressures continue to build, it may become necessary to demonstrate that limited war or all out war is becoming thinkable. At this stage look for:
a)  Every possible piece of equipment and unit is put into a ready status.
b)  Combat alert status.
c)  Limited war forces are deployed.
d) The consequences of a thermonuclear war are stressed to the other side, along with indications that no alternative exists unless “they” come to their senses.
* Due to the fact that SAC (Strategic Air Command) is on permanent alert, this is a range rung on the escalation ladder.

Rung 8 – Intense Crisis
By this time, decision makers are no longer offering choices to the enemy, they are announcing, “back down or we will go to war’. The main elements of this rung are ultimatums and unplanned evacuations.
a) There may be military actions involving divisions or larger forces.
b) This rung is achieved when, due to fear, 20% of the population leave a major city in the USA.

Rung 9 – Limited Evacuation
Either or both opponents may carry through a partial, official evacuation. This would meet great resistance from the population. Decision makers are not likely to be paying politics at this time and may feel they have a stronger hand if most of the population is relatively safe.
At this stage, the public has little to say.

Rung 10 – Super Ready Status
In effect, this rung offers the enemy a choice: 1) Compromise, 2) continue the current dangerous crisis or, 3) immediately escalate to “all out war”.
It involves dangerous and costly actions, i.e.,
a)  Causing a high false alarm rate in the enemies warning and alert system.
b)  There may be limited destruction and violence designed to degrade his defensive capability so he will be less able to counter attack, after he is “surprise attacked”.

Rung 11 – Controlled Local War
The military may be employed on a scale of the Korean War, but it is limited to conventional weapons. Tactical nuclear weapons may be used-less to destroy military forces, as to show the opponent that unless he backs down, more will follow. pressures associated with the “First Use” on nuclear weapons:
a)  It could lead to uncontrolled disarmament later.
b)  Many non nuclear nations may suddenly go for their own nuclear weapons stockpiles.
c)  It sets a precedent, which would make escalation into an “all out war”, more likely from a future Limited War.

Rung 12 – Spectacular Show of Force
This rung involves the actual use of major weapons, whether or not their objective is to kill. The weapon may be used to punish the enemy for a previous or immediately intended act. A nuclear device detonated over enemy territory says in effect: “Halt or I’ll shoot!”

Rung 13 – Limited, Non Local War
At this point, major weapons start to be used against “sanitary” military targets:
a)  Ships at sea,
b)  Isolated military bases
c) Expensive industrial installations, especially ones with a semi military character.

Rung 14 – Complete Evacuation
On the verge of, or actually in a war. If possible, both sides are likely to evacuate their cities, leaving only 5-10% of the population operating essential facilities.
Martial law is declared and some rights under the Constitution are suspended. The state of affairs on this rung, are expected to cause enormous political, social, economic and psychological problems.

Rung 15 – All Out War
This does not necessarily refer to the “spasm” war, where each side strikes indiscriminately against each other’s cities and military bases. There is the potential for a rational, controlled nuclear war, where military actions are accomplished by threats, promises and controlled destruction, i.e.,
a) Care may be taken to avoid civilian targets, or by using low yield weapons against SAC bases which are associated with cities.
b) Early in the war, either side could easily back down after a limited response and feel that its opponent did not get away scot-free.
c) After 10-20 hours, the war could, however, degenerate into a “city busting” phase.

Rung 16 – Aftermath
The aftermath could include increased cooperation or increased competition, it could lead to real stability or to an accelerated arms race.
De-escalation could occur from any Rung, measures often include;
a) Reversal of a previous escalation move.
b) Settling another dispute.
c) Freeing prisoners.
d) Conciliatory statements, etc.
* Decisions are made from a national or international point of view even if it means that local considerations are inadequately considered.
——————————————— cut here ———————————————
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B.  Global Trends 2025 – Future is nuclear war and famine – US intelligence
March 29, 2008, 1913Intel, by Matt
<http://www.1913intel.com/2008/03/29/the-coming-nuclear-war-in-2012/&gt;
“The use of nuclear weapons will grow increasingly likely by 2025, US intelligence warned in a report on global trends that forecasts a tense, unstable world shadowed by war. “The world of the near future will be subject to an increased likelihood of conflict over scarce resources, including food and water, and will be haunted by the persistence of rogue states and terrorist groups with greater access to nuclear weapons,” said the report. “Widening gaps in birth rates and wealth-to-poverty ratios, and the uneven impact of climate change, could further exacerbate tensions.” Called Global Trends 2025 – a Transformed World, the 121-page report was produced by the National Intelligence Council, a body of analysts from across the US intelligence community. Officials said it was being briefed to the incoming administration of president-elect Barack Obama. A year in the making, the report does not take into account the recent global financial crisis. “In one sense, a bad sense, the pace of change that we are looking at in 2025 occurred more rapidly than we had anticipated,” said Thomas Fingar, deputy director of National Intelligence. One overarching conclusion of the report is that “the unipolar world is over, (or) certainly will be by 2025,” Mr Fingar said. But with the “rise of the rest,” managing crises and avoiding conflicts will be more difficult, particularly with an antiquated post-World War II international system. “The potential for conflict will be different then and in some ways greater than it has been for a very long time,” Mr Fingar said.”

See Nuclear Target maps for potential targets in your state, (go to the website and select your state from the list):
<http://www.ki4u.com/nuclearsurvival/list.htm&gt;
Once there is any use of nuclear weapons, it will be like giving permission for anyone to use them.

Table: Who has nuclear weapons and approximately how many?

Nuclear warheads
No. of war heads, 20095 Inter-contin-ental missiles Short range missiles Bombs Sub-marines/
non-strategic
In reserve/ awaiting disman tlement Total Now Total In 2000
China 121 55 176 400
France 60 240 300 350
India 75 0
Israel 200 0
North Korea 2 0
Pakistan 90 0
Russia 1355 576 856 2050 8150 12987 21000
UK 192 192 185
US 550 1152 500 500 6700 9552 10577

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The table above is from: <http://www.guardian.co.uk/news/datablog/2009/sep/06/nuclear-weapons-world-us-north-korea-russia-iran&gt;
Remember, it would only take 2- 3 appropriately spaced, near orbital altitude nuclear explosions above the USA to create the EMP for a long-term knock out essentially the entire North American power grid (most of Canada, all the USA and norther Mexico).
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C.  Situational Awareness
http://captaindaveinc.com/guide/chapter-4-beyond-the-basics/situational-awareness/
Part of developing a survival mindset is being aware of your situation. The military developed a set of color codes which Col. Jeff Cooper (a respected firearms trainer and originator of modern pistol fighting techniques) adapted for personal “street” survival by those who carry a firearm. (If this seems familiar it is because Homeland Security adopted a version of this Color Code.) Captain Dave has adapted and modified the original to pertain to survival in the broader sense.

‘Condition White’
An individual in Condition White is totally unaware that the world is an unpredictable (at best) place and that they could be put in danger by a man-made or natural disaster with little or no warning. They suffer from the misguided belief that the government will protect them and keep them safe. When disaster strikes, they are surprised, angry that it could happen to them, and totally unprepared. Most of the populace is in Condition White until they see the hurricane warnings on TV or the evacuation siren goes off.

‘Condition Yellow’
An individual in Condition Yellow has accepted responsibility for his or her personal survival. They have admitted that the veneer of civilization can be wiped away, catapulting us back to an era where our modern conveniences don’t work. They realize that the police cannot protect them before a crime has been committed. They realize that while mankind can harness some of nature’s powers, and predict some of her behavior, but it cannot stand against her fury. They may have even done something about it, or they may be preparing to. This is the beginning stage for survivalism, and people reaching it can either proceed to Condition Orange or shrug their shoulders and slip back into Condition White.

This individual has started making preparations to protect themselves and their loved ones from potential disasters. They monitor the news for weather-related danger or potential civil unrest. By reading this far into Captain Dave’s Survival Guide, you are probably in condition Yellow.

‘Condition Orange’
You are in Condition Orange when you realize a dangerous event is on the horizon and looming closer. It could be a hurricane heading towards you, an impending snow storm or a gang of youths crossing the street on a course ready to intercept you. In condition Orange, you are preparing to survive an impending situation. This could mean filling improvised water tanks or bringing extra fire wood into the house to dry. It could be loading the car in preparation to evacuate or hanging hurricane shutters.
(Note, in some emergencies — like an earthquake or terrorist bombing — you may go straight from Condition Yellow to Condition Red or Black.)

‘Condition Red’
You are in a survival situation and the dangerous event is there NOW. This means the bullets are flying, the water is rising, the wind is howling, the electricity is out, or the snow is piling up. You’re most important priority is to ride out the moment, to survive the immediate event. This probably means taking shelter or running or, depending on the situation, fighting back. Condition Red can last only a few minutes in an earthquake or Tornado, or it can last for weeks or months in an epidemic.

‘Condition Black’
Condition Black is after the catastrophic event, but before the situation has returned to normalcy. You still are depending on your survival stash and skills to survive, but the danger is longer term, not immediate.

Here are examples of condition black that could last a few days: The earthquake that is over, but you can’t return to your home. Or the river has crested, but it will be days before you can return home and longer before you are cleaned out. Or the riots have died down, but you dare not leave your house or neighborhood. Or the snow has stopped but the electricity has not been restored, and it will be a few days before the plows dig you out. The terrorists have struck but there is a hold on all travel.

Depending on the emergency, Condition Black may last a few months or even years. For example, imagine if 25% of the world’s population has died in a terrible pandemic and our government has declared martial law. Power and other utilities are intermittent and food delivers have stopped. Or, a nuclear exchange in the Middle East has spread fallout across the globe and caused oil prices to quadruple. Or, the U.S. is at war with China over Taiwan and all commerce between the two countries has stopped.

See also the 4dtraveler posts:
(Survival Manual/1. Disaster/ Nuclear EMP)
(Survival Manual/1. Disaster/Long Term Power Outage)
(Survival Manual/2.Social Issues/Marshal Law)
(Survival Manual/2.Social Issues/Prep with Cash & Equivalents) (Survival manual/3. Food & Water/Develop a survival food list)

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On the brink?

(News & Editorial/ On the brink?)

brink dollar

A.  THE COLLAPSE OF THE DOLLAR
17 Feb 2013, Gold-Eagle.com by Aubie Baltin CFA, CTA, CFP, PhD.
Excerpt pasted from: http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_12/baltin021713.html

HOW REALLY BAD ARE THE ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS?
The economic situation looks under control currently, that’s because we are now in the eye of the storm. The longer this unbalanced situation goes on, the faster and more severe the eventual collapse will play out.

The main theme is that governments in the US and Europe have lost complete control over their spending and borrowing, which must ultimately result in a catastrophic crisis. Soaring debt accumulation, along with Europe Japan and USA race to devalue will continue until some kind of crisis arises; either internally or globally and when the markets blowup, it will bring about an abrupt END to this charade. The 2008 crisis was not the final collapse. The final chapter of the 2008 – 2009 meltdowns is still ahead of us. The same trend is forecasted for the rest of the world and up until now it is playing out almost exactly the way I have expected it to. Worldwide debt stands at $220 trillion, a figure that when compared with world GDP of $62 trillion, shows a debt to GDP ratio of 350% and still growing exponentially. Common sense should tell you that it is not sustainable.

THE CARDS HAVE BEEN DEALT
There is no stopping the Euro’s demise – are you protected? History tells us that “Nationalism will emerge. Healthier countries will not see fit to spend ALL their hard earned RESERVES to bail out their less responsible neighbors who to this day refuse to make any adjustments to their spending.” And money will flow out of paper assets into gold and silver as debt creation continues to gain momentum and spread to the public. (Gold and silver are the only forms of money that governments cannot debase by creating additional units of it.)

Treasury Bonds: They have always been and for the time being, still are functions of a general flight to safety. An ever shrinking part of the world is still looking at US Dollar denominated assets as safe havens even though the US government is taking on an ever-increasing amount of debt. However, it is imperative to understand that the purchasers in the treasury market are mostly the central banks themselves. Their intention is to prop up fiat currencies by buying sovereign debt. What this really means is that governments are taking on too much debt and turning it into currency. Most people don’t see this process; it also remains unreported by the mainstream media. This process, historically, is the final stage of a country destroying its currency. Unfortunately, it is taking place on a global scale, so it will undoubtedly result in an implosion of the whole fiat currency concept.

Unfortunately I cannot tell you the exact timing of the coming debacle.
Where do we stand today? The number of people with jobs (actually working) as reported by the Government is up 2%, while the number of people on disability is up by 15%. And yet the percentage of the population with jobs is fast approaching the lowest figure in history: People living on food stamps are up 44%, standing at 46 million currently. One in four households lives on less than $25,000 a year.

Total debt has gone from 1.5 times GDP in 1980 to 3.5 times GDP today and climbing. 2012 was the 4th consecutive year in which the US ran trillion dollar plus deficits, with over $1.5 trillion projected for 2013 and continuing as far as the eye can see: When unfunded liabilities are included in the calculation (Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security which are nonetheless debt), the debt per family stands at over $2 million. The Government and the “Don’t Ask Don’t Tell” Media are trying to convince us that things are improving. The path to the final collapse has been slowed down by human nature. It takes a long time for people to change their beliefs on something. Our global society still believes that paper currencies still hold their value over time as they keep on accumulating and saving fiat based money.

A stanch Left Wing compliant media is a phenomenal tool for fooling people. Governments seem to be able to create as much currency as they want. But COMMON SENSE tells us that there are limitations. Yes, they can set interest rates at levels that signal to the market that economic conditions are fine: Even when underlying conditions are deteriorating. Lending at a very low-interest rate gives the impression of a good creditworthiness. But that is a false premise. Nobody in their right mind lends money at ¼% to 0 % interest.

WE ARE IN A GOVERNMENT DEBT / BOND BUBBLE
Markets and people tend to go with the flow during a bubble. However, history has shown that as awareness slowly but surely sinks in; people suddenly wake up (usually triggered by a Black Swan event and move extremely quickly (witness the LEMAN BROS. affair). We also saw this in the last two bubbles. One year before the tech stock bubble imploded, everyone expected the future to be better than the past, but in the blink of an eye, the world was staring at a global depression. The same thing happened with the housing boom in 2008. Everyone was convinced that housing prices could only go up in 2007, yet one year later, the whole global financial system was on the verge of collapse. But the world still had full faith in the US Dollar and its Bond Market. Today, everyone believes in the safety of government bonds and they are parking their money there, even though they are not receiving any interest. Go figure. It is unknown when exactly the coming crash will take place (but it will) and the world will wake up suddenly, as their dreams become a nightmare… again!

HOW THE NEXT COLLAPSE WILL PLAY OUT
The structure of our financial system is a fascinating topic to explore. It gives us insights to describe the anatomy of the coming collapse. The best analytical framework explaining today’s system is described in “Currency Wars” by Jim Rickards, published in 2011. The author explains how complexity in our system has risen to the point where it shows unique characteristics, the most important one being that the propensity for catastrophic failure is an exponential function of complexity. In simple terms, it means that, when the system doubles in size, the instability goes up tenfold. It means as well that it requires exponentially increasing amounts of money (debt) to keep the system growing. The framework is revolutionary in that it perfectly describes today’s reality. Today, governments need more and more debt to generate the same amount of GDP. We need to borrow more only to stay in place but at the cost of a huge (almost certain) collapse of the system. But more importantly, the problems have become so huge that there is no longer a Lender of Last Resort big enough to bail anybody out.

The longer this process goes on, the faster and more severe the collapse will be. Suppose the final collapse strikes in 2013/15. By then, the system will have grown so complex, and the amounts of debt will be so huge that there will be no way to control it – the crash will take on a life on its own.

THOSE DEADLY DERIVITIVES
As early as February 2005, I warned about both the size and the exponential growth of derivatives, growing without any collateral. In fact, they are the “complexity story”. What most people do not realize is that banks report their net derivatives position (their long versus short positions) and only the net position is shown as their risk. However, the gross position is the real relevant number. To put things into perspective, the earlier mentioned $62 trillion global GDP should be compared with the gross derivatives figure which stands at more than a Quadrillion dollars of notional value. (How much is a Quadrillion?

A derivatives meltdown will play out almost instantaneously, which is why they keep pouring money into Greece because a default of even one small insignificant country, no matter how small, could be the Black Swan ( Lehman Bros.) that everyone fears, because it sets off a chain reaction of defaults. When one big bank faces some kind of trouble and fails, the banks with the largest exposure to derivatives (think JP Morgan, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs etc.) will realize that the bank on the other side of the derivatives trade (the counterparty) is no longer good for any of their obligations. All of a sudden their hedged positions become naked positions. The gross position becomes their net positions. The risk explodes instantaneously. Markets realize that all hedged positions are in reality not hedged anymore, and all market participants start bailing almost simultaneously. (Bail to where or to whom?) The whole banking and financial system freezes up. It might start in Asia or Europe, in which case Americans will wake up in the morning to find out that their markets are not functioning anymore; stock markets remain closed, money at the banks become inaccessible, etc.

It is really impossible to forecast the exact trigger that will cause the bubble to burst. What we clearly see today is that the fixed income (bond) market will be the epicenter of the coming shock. A lot of derivatives are hedges against bond portfolios, but most are against Sovereign Debt so the crack could start with trouble in Treasury Bond markets for example as US interest rates start rising or as no one except the Fed shows up for the next Bond Auction. The first reaction will be the Fed buying up all bonds that the US government is issuing, which would spook the markets instead of calm them down. This would set off a chain reaction as all bond holders try to dump their bonds.
Complex systems do not allow us (me) to determine things ahead of time. One of the few things we know, however, is that the mother of all bubbles will burst and that we created the conditions for this catastrophic failure.
You will then thank your lucky stars (and maybe me) that you have been accumulating Gold Eagles and Maple leafs for the last 12 years…

TRENDS FOR 2013 & POTENTIAL TRIGGERS FOR A TRUST CRISIS
Possible triggers:
>
The erosion of the Petrodollar: Oil producing countries start dealing their oil in other currencies (mostly gold) with huge purchasers (think Iran, Russia, China, Brazil), resulting in a lower demand for dollars and a huge increase in the demand for gold. If central banks decrease their demand for US dollars, it would lower the value of the dollar and make inflation and interest rates explode. We have already witnessed the first sign when we forced Iran to start trading oil for gold and their major clients jumped at the chance to continue trading with Iran using gold to settle all trading.
> Expansion of the police state. The response to terrorism and public riots and instability is an increased control by the government; it’s happened all before (think Hitler Stalin and Chavez today) (think internet monitoring, surveillance systems, etc). And most important – an attempt to confiscate all the public’s guns. It creates conditions for domestic turbulence via civil unrest, resulting in an outflow of money and Rich people to other countries. The acceleration of this trend has already begun to be visible in 2013. Look for a possible government seizure of citizens’ gold and silver.
> State and local pensions begin imploding. States and localities cannot pay off their obligations anymore and could go bankrupt in 2013, resulting in a tanking municipal bond market.
> Threat of cyber war and cyber terrorism. The internet being an insecure system, the next war could result in a breakdown of the electronic system, which would spook the markets tremendously.

brink gov debt

GOLD & SILVER – THE BEST STORE OF SAFETY AND PROTECTION OF WEALTH
Precious metals are where we hide when we do not trust the rest of the world. When things start really spinning out of control, everything could potentially be destroyed, but the only things that cannot be destroyed are gold, silver, platinum, food, oil and probably the mining stocks, among other tangible assets. With a limited supply and availability, a massive demand for precious metals will translate into exponentially rising prices. The ongoing destruction of fiat currencies will become increasingly apparent in 2013 -15. An increasing number of investors will understand that precious metals are holding and increasing in value while other assets are not.

Central banks have already reversed their 30 year penchant for selling gold and are already moving back into gold. China as the best example, imported 800 tons of gold in 2012. To put that figure into perspective: Their official reserves were 1,000 tons. The same trend is taking place in other countries (although on a smaller scale) like, for example, Russia, Brazil and several Asian countries. This increasing demand will be a main driver for higher prices beginning in 2013.

Downwards suppression of gold and silver prices (manipulation) can be the only explanation for all the strange price action in 2012 and before. In December for instance, huge amounts of short selling took place during the most thinly traded moments (during overnight trading sessions when the major markets are closed.). That is not how a market participant closes out a large winning futures position because all the subsequent trades are happening at lower prices. Commercial banks, together with western central banks, actively try to depress gold and silver prices to validate the existence of their fiat currencies. It has resulted in a controlled price rise, instead of an exponential one. But their end is in sight. People and investors need to look at these selloffs as an opportunity. A slow and steady bull market makes it possible to accumulate the metals in a steady way into weakness. At the start of 2013, the fundamentals justify much higher gold and silver prices.

Another respected hedge fund, the Pacific Group, has decided to convert one third of its hedge-fund assets into physical gold. The Pacific Group Ltd., which manages assets of over $100 Billion, believes that gold will continue to rise as governments print more money to pay off debt. Thus, continues the trend of some of the smartest money in the world diversifying more and more of their holdings into physical gold.

“The way I look at it, gold is anywhere from being seriously undervalued to being grossly undervalued,” We’re in the early stages of what in my judgment will most likely turn out to be the world’s largest short squeeze in history.”

“Trust in central banks by other central banks is in great danger.”

ZERO HEDGE
The big news this past month was the initial announcement by Germany that they would be repatriating their gold back to Germany and the political rhetoric that followed.
“In what could be a watershed moment for the price and future of physical gold, not to mention the stability of the entire monetary regime based on rock solid, undisputed faith and credit in paper money, German Handelsblatt reports in an exclusive interview that all official 3,396 tons of it is about to be partially moved out of the New York Fed, where the majority, or 45% of it is currently stored, as well as the entirety of the 11% of German gold held with the Banque de France, and repatriated back home to Germany.” Andreas Dobret, member of the Executive Board of the German Bundesbank, adding that, “The Bundesbank will remain the Fed’s trusted partner in future, and we will continue to take advantage of the Fed’s services by storing some of our currency reserves as well as gold in New York.”

Seems to me like an attempt to calm the waters.
When Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez ordered the repatriation of 85% of the country’s bullion reserves from European Banks, most of which was held with the Bank of England, the move was dismissed as “unnecessary and expensive,” with others accusing Chavez of acting out of paranoia.

The reaction to Germany’s decision to do almost precisely the same thing is likely to be more muted so as not to start a stampede of other countries seeking to mimic the Bundesbank actions. Germany is the second largest gold holder in the world.

“This is a momentous development, one which may signify the end of mutual assurance and solidarity among central banks because if the central banks don’t have faith in one another, why should anyone else? Without trust the system falls apart. In the end, the criminals always turn against each other. This could be a sign that this end process is already underway.” I would have to agree with this assessment by Zero Hedge, especially on the heels of the “gold is money” announcement two months ago regarding the Basel III Accord, which should have gone into effect as of the first of the year (2013). Yet we haven’t seen or heard of any official announcement regarding this Why?

Taking into account the timing of these two events, how close they are in proximity to one another, it appears to me to be very bullish for gold. Yet the gold price for the moment seems to be caught in a very boring but tight trading range with little in the way of news to drive gold or silver significantly one way or the other. But this can and will change very quickly especially once the charts give a definite buy signal. So far, just as gold seems ready to break out to the upside, there is a sharp selloff into the close of trading. DON’T LET THAT SCARE YOU. I would use any follow-up selling at the morning opening as a BUYING OPPORTUNITY.

I try to keep a balanced perspective on where precious metals prices and
everything else I own are heading and why. I try to think of everything I can for each case and then look at which argument is more compelling at any particular juncture. At the moment, the odds are stacked in gold’s favor for moving higher in the bigger picture, but lower in the immediate to short-term due to governmental interference, which appears to be excessive as of late. When this happened in the past, it was a sure sign that all the precious metals would soon go higher. Especially as large holders (think China) who buy in the money options and then demand delivery instead of just cashing in their profits.

To think that the government intervenes in the precious metals markets should come as no surprise as they lie and manipulate on just about every piece of economic and financial data they report. To really understand the specifics on how this is done, you should follow John Williams at his http://www.shadowstatistics.com. I don’t talk much about government rigging of markets because in the end anyone who tries to manage a market always loses, but it is important to understand this is part of the process of being an investor in an asset that is despised by the government.

When you are running a fraudulent fiat currency scam, a rising gold price exposes the fraud and signals investors and citizens to protect themselves from government devaluation by owning the metal itself. Politicians typically hate gold or the thought of backing a currency with gold because it keeps them accountable to the people. Ah, what a concept, keeping these thieves accountable to us and not their puppeteers!

John Williams is one person who I trust completely in his analysis of the precious metals markets and governmental statistical reporting. His newsletter ShadowStats.com is worth every penny in bringing to light government fraud on many levels. Once you read his newsletter, you begin to understand you can’t trust anything that comes out about government statistics in the mainstream media. It’s all just a pile of lies and grand deceptions to keep the people in the dark.

Matt Taibbi, the reporter from Rolling Stone magazine said the following:
“The public has been lied to so shamelessly and so often in the course of the past four years that the failure to tell the truth to the general populace has become a kind of baked-in, official feature of the financial rescue. Money wasn’t the only thing the government gave Wall Street – it also conferred the right to hide the truth from the rest of us. And it was all done in the name of helping regular little people and creating jobs. “It is,” says former bailout Inspector General Neil Barofsky, “the ultimate bait-and-switch.”

The bailout deceptions came early, late and often. There were lies at the very outset, and others still being told four years later. The lies, in fact, were the most important mechanisms of the bailout. The only reason investors haven’t run screaming from an obviously corrupt financial marketplace is because the government has gone to such extraordinary lengths to sell the narrative that the problems of 2008 were all president’s Bush’s fault and have now been fixed. Investors may not actually believe the lie at first, but they been overwhelmed by how totally committed the government, Wall St. and the Media have been, to selling it” Besides where else can the little people go?

Another item in the news is a series of statements that came from Boston University Economics Professor Laurence Kotlikoff. He is worried about America’s dire financial situation.
 “The situation is getting worse and worse and worse. We are running a massive six decade Ponzi scheme, and it’s fast coming to a real breaking point.”

Dr. Kotlikoff calculates that the real government deficit is enormous and growing exponentially.
“It’s $222 trillion. Last year it was $211 trillion. We grew the deficit by $11 trillion in one year,” He also says, “We are actually in worse shape than any other developed country. “Ben Bernanke is playing with fire here because we could easily have a tripling of the INFLATION level.”


Independent economist John Maudlin recently said it this way “the newest changes to the tax codes are full of pork barrel spending:
“These giveaways of taxpayer money make my blood boil. We’re not yet at the endgame of the government’s wasteful spending, as they have yet to even address the problem “Washington’s debts are going to explode and crush us; they’re also going to distort the free markets for years to come.”

Overall, we have to consider the fact that government and their central banks are very adept and convincing us that their way is the only way: But the fact remains, THAT IT WILL AT SOME POINT BECOME NO LONGER TENABLE–

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B.  20 Signs That The U.S. Economy Is Heading For Big Trouble In The Months Ahead
20 Feb 2013, The Economic Collapse Blog, By Michael
Pasted from: http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/20-signs-that-the-u-s-economy-is-heading-for-big-trouble-in-the-months-ahead

brink signIs the U.S. economy about to experience a major downturn? Unfortunately, there are a whole bunch of signs that economic activity in the United States is really slowing down right now. Freight volumes and freight expenditures are way down, consumer confidence has declined sharply, major retail chains all over America are closing hundreds of stores, and the “sequester” threatens to give the American people their first significant opportunity to experience what “austerity” tastes like. Gas prices are going up rapidly, corporate insiders are dumping massive amounts of stock and there are high profile corporate bankruptcies in the news almost every single day now. In many ways, what we are going through right now feels very similar to 2008 before the crash happened. Back then the warning signs of economic trouble were very obvious, but our politicians and the mainstream media insisted that everything was just fine, and the stock market was very much detached from reality. When the stock market did finally catch up with reality, it happened very, very rapidly. Sadly, most people do not appear to have learned any lessons from the crisis of 2008. Americans continue to rack up staggering amounts of debt, and Wall Street is more reckless than ever. As a society, we seem to have concluded that 2008 was just a temporary malfunction rather than an indication that our entire system was fundamentally flawed. In the end, we will pay a great price for our overconfidence and our recklessness.

So what will the rest of 2013 bring?
Hopefully the economy will remain stable for as long as possible, but right now things do not look particularly promising.

The following are 20 signs that the U.S. economy is heading for big trouble in the months ahead…
#1  Freight shipment volumes have hit their lowest level in two years, and freight expenditures have gone negative for the first time since the last recession.

#2  The average price of a gallon of gasoline has risen by more than 50 cents over the past two months. This is making things tougher on our economy, because nearly every form of economic activity involves moving people or goods around.

#3  Reader’s Digest, once one of the most popular magazines in the world, has filed for bankruptcy.

#4  Atlantic City’s newest casino, Revel, has just filed for bankruptcy. It had been hoped that Revel would help lead a turnaround for Atlantic City.

#5  A state-appointed review board has determined that there is “no satisfactory plan” to solve Detroit’s financial emergency, and many believe that bankruptcy is imminent. If Detroit does declare bankruptcy, it will be the largest municipal bankruptcy in U.S. history.

#6  David Gallagher, the CEO of Town Sports International, recently said that his company is struggling right now because consumers simply do not have as much disposable income anymore…
“As we moved into January membership trends were tracking to expectations in the first half of the month, but fell off track and did not meet our expectations in the second half of the month. We believe the driver of this was the rapid decline in consumer sentiment that has been reported and is connected to the reduction in net pay consumers earn given the changes in tax rates that went into effect in January.”

#7  According to the Conference Board, consumer confidence in the U.S. has hit its lowest level in more than a year.

#8  Sales of the Apple iPhone have been slower than projected, and as a result Chinese manufacturing giant FoxConn has instituted a hiring freeze. The following is from a CNET report that was posted on Wednesday…
“The Financial Times noted that it was the first time since a 2009 downturn that the company opted to halt hiring in all of its facilities across the country. The publication talked to multiple recruiters.
The actions taken by Foxconn fuel the concern over the perceived weakened demand for the iPhone 5 and slumping sentiment around Apple in general, with production activity a leading indicator of interest in the product.”

#9  In 2012, global cell phone sales posted their first decline since the end of the last recession.

#10  We appear to be in the midst of a “retail apocalypse”. It is being projected that Sears, J.C. Penney, Best Buy and RadioShack will also close hundreds of stores by the end of 2013.

#11  An internal memo authored by a Wal-Mart executive that was recently leaked to the press said that February sales were a “total disaster” and that the beginning of February was the “worst start to a month I have seen in my ~7 years with the company.”

#12  If Congress does not do anything and “sequestration” goes into effect on March 1st, the Pentagon says that approximately 800,000 civilian employees will be facing mandatory furloughs.

#13  Barack Obama is admitting that the “sequester” could have a crippling impact on the U.S. economy. The following is from a recent CNBC article…
Obama cautioned that if the $85 billion in immediate cuts — known as the sequester — occur, the full range of government would feel the effects. Among those he listed: furloughed FBI agents, reductions in spending for communities to pay police and fire personnel and teachers, and decreased ability to respond to threats around the world.
He said the consequences would be felt across the economy.
“People will lose their jobs,” he said. “The unemployment rate might tick up again.”

#14  If the “sequester” is allowed to go into effect, the CBO is projecting that it will cause U.S. GDP growth to go down by at least 0.6 percent and that it will “reduce job growth by 750,000 jobs”.

#15  According to a recent Gallup survey, 65 percent of all Americans believe that 2013 will be a year of “economic difficulty”, and 50 percent of all Americans believe that the “best days” of America are now in the past.

#16  U.S. GDP actually contracted at an annual rate of 0.1 percent during the fourth quarter of 2012. This was the first GDP contraction that the official numbers have shown in more than three years.

#17  For the entire year of 2012, U.S. GDP growth was only about 1.5 percent. According to Art Cashin, every time GDP growth has fallen this low for an entire year, the U.S. economy has always ended up going into a recession.

#18  The global economy overall is really starting to slow down…
The world’s richest countries saw their economies contract for the first time in almost four years during the final three months of 2012, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development said.

The Paris-based thinktank said gross domestic product across its 34 member states fell by 0.2% – breaking a period of rising activity stretching back to a 2.3% slump in output in the first quarter of 2009.

All the major economies of the OECD – the US, Japan, Germany, France, Italy and the UK – have already reported falls in output at the end of 2012, with the thinktank noting that the steepest declines had been seen in the European Union, where GDP fell by 0.5%. Canada is the only member of the G7 currently on course to register an increase in national output.”

#19  Corporate insiders are dumping enormous amounts of stock right now. Do they know something that we don’t?

#20  Even some of the biggest names on Wall Street are warning that we are heading for an economic collapse. For example, Seth Klarman, one of the most respected investors on Wall Street, said in his year-end letter that the collapse of the U.S. financial system could happen at any time…
“Investing today may well be harder than it has been at any time in our three decades of existence,” writes Seth Klarman in his year-end letter. The Fed’s “relentless interventions and manipulations” have left few purchase targets for Baupost, he laments. “(The) underpinnings of our economy and financial system are so precarious that the un-abating risks of collapse dwarf all other factors.”

So what do you think is going to happen to the U.S. economy in the months ahead?

brink button[Save  this “HELP” button. The economy seems relatively quiet on the surface for the moment; however, like the weather, that assessment can change literally overnight.
No bells will ring when the process starts, you’ll only gradually become alarmed, perhaps from a decline in the stock market, a few runs on foreign banks, or maybe some unusually rapid retail price increases.

Note: Historically, when a collapse occurs, the economic situation can go from “OK, but guarded” one day, to nearly complete disintegration within 3-4 months. Once the national and global economic collapse begins, it will most likely bottom within several months, then drag along the bottom for years.
The bad news pouring out of these events will be countered by and accompanied with good reasoning from the news media, trusted politicians and celebrities, who will be advising you, “Don’t worry, it’s all under control, the problem is temporary and not likely to spread, we have oversight and insurances in place.”
When you hear the assurances, hit the HELP button!
Mr. Larry]

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Harken thee! The bard doth speak…

(News & Editorial/ Harken thee! The bard doth speak…)

 A.  Morning Bell: Obama and the Seuss-quester
22 Feb 2013, The Foundry, by Amy Payne
Pasted from: http://blog.heritage.org/2013/02/22/obama-sequester-plan-tax-and-spend-dr-seuss/

poet bard“On Pennsylvania Avenue, right near the end, there lived a President who wanted to spend.

He knew spending meant power, so hour by hour, he thought up more spends from his Washington tower.

“I’ll spend without limits; I’ll spend without blame! Raising taxes to pay—that’s the name of the game.”

Down the street, though, a House filled with thriftier folk had a budget to pass, or the country’d go broke. “We can’t spend all day; we’ve got bills to pay! Let’s keep deficits and higher taxes away.”

The Senate next door to the House just refused. “We don’t like your budget. We’ve got some bad news: The President says we can spend all we want, and we’ll simply raise taxes whenever we choose.”

So they spent and they spent and they borrowed some more. And when all that was spent, they spent same as before.

But not everyone thought the spending was nice. In the House and the Senate, some spenders thought twice. “We’ll cut down on spending. We have a bad feeling…” then—SMACK!—right on schedule, they hit the debt ceiling.

Then the President’s office, confronted with debt: “If it’s cuts they want now, then it’s cuts they shall get. We’ll threaten such cuts that NO one would take, and show them that cuts are not smart to make.”

“This will make Congress move. We’ll just float out a tester… broad, haphazard cuts that we’ll call the sequester.”

The Senate and even the House said, “Okay! That will motivate us to find a good way. We’ll figure this out and stave off those cuts—to allow them to happen, we’d have to be nuts.”

So the deadline was set, but the spending went on. A year and a half had soon come and gone. The House passed a budget; the Senate said no; the President very much enjoyed the show.

“Spend higher! Spend faster! Grow the welfare rolls! Soon, love for the spending will show up in the polls.” He even raised taxes, but it wasn’t enough—the levels of spending grew too fast to keep up.

“Don’t you mind the sequester,” he told Capitol Hill. “You said you would fix it, and I’m sure you will.”

But they could not agree on ways to cut spending, and before they knew it, the sequester was pending.

“Oh no!” they all cried. “We can’t let these cuts stand!”

And the President said, “WHO thought of this terrible plan?”

They didn’t remember his plan all along. He distracted them with his spending-cut song. Now he returned to save them from harm, and to keep them forgetting all but his charm.

So the President said with a glint in his eye, “You tried to cut spending. I saw how you tried. But it’s just too painful—I’m sure you can see. From the beginning, you should have listened to me.”

“I’ll save you all from the spend-cutters’ axes. You see, the solution is just to raise taxes.”

***

We don’t know yet how this story will end. Will Congress raise taxes and continue to spend? We need a balanced budget with smarter cuts—reforming entitlements will take guts.

Let the President know that we’re onto his plan. Share this story with as many people as you can

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B.  [Two excerpts from] NINE POLITICAL POEMS
1990-1999, archipelago.org, by John Haines
Pasted from: http://www.archipelago.org/vol8-3/haines.htm

Notes on the Capitalist Persuasion
-1-
“Everything is connected to everything . . .”
So runs the executive saw,poet truth
cutting both ways
on the theme of all improvement:
Your string is my string
when I pull it my way.
In my detachment is your dependency.
In your small and backward nation
some minor wealth still beckons –
was it lumber, gas, or only sugar?
Thus by its imperial logic,
with carefully aimed negotiation,
my increase is your poverty.
When the mortgage payments falter,
then in fair market exchange
your account is my account,
your savings become my bonus,
your home my house to sell.
In my approval is your dispossession.

-2-
Often in distress all social bonds
are broken. Your wife may then
be my wife, your children
my dependents – if I want them.
So, too, our intellectual custom:
Your ideas are my ideas
when I choose to take them.
Your book is my book,
your title mine to steal,
your poem mine to publish.
In my acclaim is your remaindering.
Suppose I sit in an oval office:
the public polls are sliding,
and to prove I am still in command
I begin a distant war. Then,
in obedience to reciprocal fate,
by which everything is connected,
my war is your war,
my adventure your misfortune.
As when the dead come home,
and we are still connected,
my truce is your surrender,
my triumph your despair.

.

The Last Election
Suppose there are no returns,
and the candidates, one
by one, drop off in the polls,
as the voters turn away,
each to his inner persuasion.

The front-runners, the dark horses,
begin to look elsewhere,
and even the President admits
he has nothing new to say;
it is best to be silent now.

No more conventions, no donors,
no more hats in the ring;
no ghost-written speeches,
no promises we always knew
were never meant to be kept.

And something like the truth,
or what we knew by that name –
that for which no corporate
sponsor was ever offered –
takes hold of the public mind.

Each subdued and thoughtful
citizen closes his door, turns
off the news. He opens a book,
speaks quietly to his children,
begins to live once more.

poet read

.

.

C.  Political poetry
20 Feb 2013, Missoula Independent, by Peter Daniels
Pasted from; Http://missoulanews.bigskypress.com/LettersToTheEditor/archives/2013/02/20/political-poetry

The Democrats say we have to reduce the deficit. The Republicans say we have to reduce the deficit. The Independents say we have to reduce the deficit.
Isn’t it wonderful how they all agree?

Some jobs and benefits will be cut, say the Democrats. Some jobs and benefits will be cut, say the Republicans. Some jobs and benefits will be cut, say the Independents.
Isn’t it wonderful how they all agree?

The Democrats say everyone will feel some pain. The Independents say everyone will feel some pain. The Republicans say everyone except the Super rich and corporations will feel some pain.
It isn’t any wonder that they disagree!

How come only the Republicans are smart enough to know that you don’t ask the major source of your campaign funds to participate in reducing the deficit?

poet political

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Survival and physical fitness

(Survival Manual/ 6. Medical/ c) General Clinic/ Survival & physical fitness

“No man who is not willing to help himself has any right to apply to his friends, or to the gods.”
……………………………
Demosthenes (384–322 BC, Greek statesman and orator of ancient Athens)

1.  Survival & Physical Fitness
2011, No More Dependence, posted in Health/Hygiene
Pasted from:

Being physically fit is important for numerous reasons. Besides the most valuable benefit of increasing one’s own health (and thereby decreasing the risk for infections, diseases, common illness, etc.), being physically fit increases energy levels, boosts self-confidence, improves mental clarity, and generally improves quality of life.

Striving towards physical fitness may not be as fun as getting new gear or as tangible as buying 100 lbs of beans, but No More Dependence sincerely believes that regular exercise, combined with a sensible diet, is one of the most fundamental and practical survival skills to possess.

Ultimately, when weighing likely risks and potential real world survival scenarios, an individual who is generally regarded as physically fit, will have a greater likelihood of survival than his or her out of shape, or weaker, counterpart.

That being said, we’re not advocating everyone should spend every day in a gym exercising, we’re merely observing that as individuals who strive to be prepared and rely less on others, being in shape is a solid tactical advantage.

[Photo: 1968, teenage boys out for a hike.]

.

[Photo: fast forward to 2012, teenage girls out for a hike.]

2.  First and foremost to being a Prepper is a mental attitude: That of “I am responsible for me”. If you are relying on the government or others to take care of you then you are a dependent of them, not an independent citizen capable of supporting themselves. And that is exactly what a Prepper is or strives to be – an Independent Citizen capable of supporting themselves. Throw out the attitudes and beliefs that if something happens you’ll let others take care of you. In fact, throw out the notion that nothing bad will ever happen to you – chances are extremely high that it will! Whether it’s a personal, family, neighborhood, city, state, national or world event – bad things happen every single day – dodging them all is pretty near impossible.
Becoming a Prepper requires independence and self-reliance in all areas of our lives including finances, utilities, food, clothing, health, devices and furniture, to name a few key areas.

————–  a major health issue ————-

3.  Being lazy can kill you: Physical inactivity responsible for 5 millions deaths every year
Wednesday, July 18, 2012, NYDaily News, by AFP RELAX NEWS
Pasted from: http://www.nydailynews.com/life-style/health/lazy-kill-physical-inactivity-responsible-5-millions-deaths-year-article-1.1116883

Having a couch potato lifestyle is a risk factor comparable to smoking or obesity, say experts in the medical journal The Lancet, which described physical inactivity as failing to do 30 minutes of moderate physical activity five times a week, 20 minutes of vigorous activity three times a week, or a combination of the two.

Here’s some extra motivation to get off the couch and get in shape: A report in the medical journal The Lancet claims that physical inactivity kills about five million people every year.

“Roughly three of every 10 individuals aged 15 years or older — about 1.5 billion people — do not reach present physical activity recommendations,” experts said in a report that described the problem as a “pandemic.”

The picture for adolescents is even more worrying, with four out of five 13- to 15-year-olds not moving enough, it said.

Physical inactivity was described for the study as failing to do:

1) 30 minutes of moderate physical activity five times a week, or
2) 20 minutes of vigorous activity three times a week, or
3) or a combination of the two.

Inactivity increases with age, is higher in women than in men, and more prevalent in high-income countries, the researchers found.

A second study, comparing physical activity levels with population statistics on diseases like diabetes, heart problems and cancer, said lack of exercise claimed more than 5.3 million of the 57 million deaths worldwide in 2008.
It said inactivity was a risk factor comparable to smoking or obesity.

Lack of exercise causes an estimated six percent of coronary heart disease cases, seven percent of type 2 diabetes (the most common form) and 10 percent of breast and colon cancers, it said.
Reducing inactivity by 10 percent could eliminate more than half a million deaths every year, the report said, adding that the estimates were conservative.
The human body needs exercise to help the bones, muscles, heart and other organs function optimally, but populations are walking, running and cycling less and less as they spend more time in cars and in front of computers, the investigators said.

The Lancet series called for global efforts to promote physical exercise by improving pedestrian and cyclist safety on city roads, for example, more physical education at school or promoting access to free public exercise spaces.
.

4.  Physical inactivity causes 1 in 10 deaths worldwide, study says
July 18, 2012, CNN, By Matt Sloane
Pasted from: <http://www.cnn.com/2012/07/18/health/physical-inactivity-deaths/index.html>
Researchers say physical inactivity has become a global pandemic.

 Story Highlights
•  
Physical inactivity causes 1 in 10 deaths worldwide, series of studies in Lancet say
• Researchers suggest public health officials treat inactivity as a pandemic
• Inactivity often rises with age and is higher in women as well as in high-income countries
• Studies: Exercise events and better public transportation help improve physical activity

(CNN) — Physical inactivity causes 1 in 10 deaths worldwide, according to a series of studies released in British medical journal The Lancet, putting it on par with the dangers of smoking and obesity. The results also suggest that public health officials treat this situation as a pandemic.
Specifically, Harvard researchers say, inactivity caused an increase in deaths from coronary heart disease, type 2 diabetes, breast and colon cancers and caused more than 5.3 million deaths in 2008 worldwide.
If physical inactivity rates were to go down by even 10% to 20% worldwide, they say, it could save between a half-million and 1.3 million lives each year. This could also raise global life expectancy by almost a year.

“This summer, we will admire the breathtaking feats of athletes competing in the 2012 Olympic Games,” wrote Dr. I-Min Lee, a Harvard researcher and the lead author of an article accompanying the series of studies. “Although only the smallest fraction of the population will attain these heights, the overwhelming majority of us are able to be physically active at very modest levels, which bring substantial health benefits.”
This series of five studies was specifically timed to be released just days before the start of the 2012 Olympics in London next week, and each of the studies focused on one specific issue related to physical inactivity and its effect on global health.

Adults and children at increased risk
The first in the group of five studies suggested that one-third of adults, and close to 80% of adolescents worldwide, are at increased risk of disease as a result of physical inactivity.
According to the report, some 1.5 billion adults worldwide face a 20% to 30% increased risk of heart disease, diabetes and certain cancers.
Researchers also found that inactivity levels varied widely across the globe, with the lowest levels in Bangladesh (5%) and the highest levels in Malta (71%).
“In most countries, inactivity rises with age and is higher in women than in men [34% vs 28%],” wrote Dr. Pedro C. Hallal, a professor at the Universidade Federal de Pelotas in Brazil. “Inactivity is also increased in high-income countries.”

Why are some people more active?
The second study looked at why certain people and groups of people exercise while others do not.
The study authors found that previous research focused on individual-level factors such as age, sex and socioeconomic status, and they were conducted primarily in high-income countries. But they suggest future research focus on middle and lower-income countries.

“Research has been heavily concentrated in a few developed countries, most of which have stable or falling rates of noncommunicable diseases, rather than in low-income countries where understanding of evidence-based strategies for increasing physical activity is poor,” wrote Adrian Bauman, a researcher from the University of Sydney in Australia. “Targeting factors known to cause inactivity is key to improving and designing effective interventions to increase activity levels.”
Bauman and his colleagues found that health status, being male, young or wealthy tend to make people more physically active, as does family and societal support for physical activity.

What works to promote physical activity
The third article in The Lancet series looked at what specific programs and types of programs work to promote physical activity.
“Because even moderate physical activity such as walking and cycling can have substantial health benefits, understanding strategies that can increase these behaviors in different regions and cultures has become a public health priority,” wrote Gregory Heath, a researcher from the University of Tennessee and the lead author of this study.

Heath and his team found that the use of mass-media campaigns to promote exercise, as well as signs to remind people to be active — taking the stairs, for example — had some effect on getting people more active.
The team also found that free, public exercise events, creating an environment that was conducive to exercise (bike lanes and walking trails), and improving public transportation were more likely to improve physical activity.

“Overall, our findings showed the interventions to have consistent and significant effects on physical activity and behaviors,” Heath wrote. “Even though in some instances the effect sizes of these interventions were rather modest, they were large enough to translate into real population-level benefits if rolled out on a larger scale.”

Using mobile phones to get people active
The fourth study found that technology, and specifically cell phone technology, could be significant in helping people get fit.
“With the high prevalence of both physical inactivity and the rapid growth of the mobile phone sector in low-income and middle-income countries, there is a potential for population-level effects that could truly affect global health,” wrote Dr. Michael Pratt, a researcher from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Researchers believe that with more than 4 billion text messaging users worldwide, this could be an effective way to deliver health-conscious messages, particularly in low-income countries.
According to this report, Pratt and his team estimated that using Internet-based technologies could be twice as effective in middle-income countries as in high-income countries, given that 71% of the world’s population lives in these countries and many have access to cell phones.
“This is a big challenge, but marked progress in countries such as Colombia and Brazil suggests that it is also an achievable challenge,” he wrote.

Obesity should be considered a pandemic
The final report suggests that physical inactivity should be recognized as a global pandemic and should be treated like any other infectious-disease pandemic would be.
“The role of physical inactivity continues to be undervalued despite robust evidence of its protective effects,” wrote Harold Kohl, a researcher at the University of Texas School of Public Health and lead author of this study. “The response … has been incomplete, unfocused and most certainly understaffed. … The effect of this tardiness has been to put physical activity in reverse gear compared with population trends and advances in tobacco and alcohol control and diet.”

Kohl called on countries — low, middle and high-income — to work across disciplines to fix this problem.
“Physical inactivity is an issue that crosses many sectors and will require collaboration, coordination and communication with multiple partners,” he wrote, citing specifically city and community planners, transportation engineers, schools, parks and recreation officials and the media.

He says that almost 75% of World Health Organization member countries have some sort of plan to improve physical activity, but only 55% of the plans have been put into effect and only 42% of the plans in effect are well-funded.
“Substantial improvements in the infrastructure of planning and policy, leadership and advocacy, workforce training and surveillance must be realized,” he said.
.

5.  Two out of Three Very Obese Kids Already Have Heart Disease Risk Factors: High Blood Pressure, Cholesterol, Blood Glucose Evident Even in Under-12s
23 July 2012, ScienceDaily,
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2012/07/120723193205.htm

Two out of three severely obese kids already have at least one risk factor for heart disease, suggests research published online in “Archives of Disease in Childhood”.
The prevalence and severity of childhood obesity has been rising worldwide, but little research has been carried out on the underlying health problems that children with severe weight problems have, say the authors.
They base their findings on data supplied by pediatricians to the Dutch Paediatric Surveillance Unit between 2005 and 2007.

During this period, doctors treating all new cases of severe obesity in children from the ages of 2 to 18 across The Netherlands were asked to supply information on their patients’ cardiovascular risk factors, including high blood pressure, fasting blood glucose levels, and blood fats (lipids).
The definition of severe obesity started at a body mass index (BMI) of 20.5 for a 2 year old, at 31 for a 12 year old, and at 35 for an 18 year old.
Over the three years, most (87% to 94%) of pediatricians submitted their monthly findings on every severely obese child they treated to the surveillance unit, providing information on 500 children in all.

When pediatricians were contacted again, with a request for further data, 363 responded and 307 of their children were correctly classified as severely obese.
Just over half (52%) of these 307 children were boys. They tended to be more severely obese at the younger end of the age spectrum; the reverse was true of girls. Full information on cardiovascular risk factors was available for 255 (83%).
Two out of three (67%) had at least one cardiovascular risk factor. Over half (56%) had high blood pressure; a similar proportion (54%) had high levels of low density ‘bad’ cholesterol; one in seven (14%) had high fasting blood glucose; and just under 1 per cent already had type 2 diabetes.

And “remarkably” say the authors, almost two thirds (62%) of those aged 12 and under had one or more cardiovascular risk factors. Only one child’s obesity was attributable to medical rather than lifestyle factors.
Nearly one in three severely obese children came from one parent families.
“The prevalence of impaired fasting glucose in [these children] is worrying, considering the increasing prevalence worldwide of type 2 diabetes in children and adolescents,” write the authors.
“Likewise, the high prevalence of hypertension and abnormal lipids may lead to cardiovascular disease in young adulthood,” they add.
And they conclude: “Internationally accepted criteria for defining severe obesity and guidelines for early detection and treatment of severe obesity and [underlying ill health] are urgently needed.”
The above story is reprinted from materials provided by BMJ-British Medical Journal, via EurekAlert!, a service of AAAS.
.

6.  We’re getting sicker: More Americans have a chronic health condition
Vitals on NBCNEWS.com
http://vitals.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/07/31/13053268-were-getting-sicker-more-americans-have-a-chronic-health-condition?lite

MyHealthNewsDaily
More than one in five middle-aged U.S. adults, and nearly half of adults over age 65, have more than one chronic health condition, such as hypertension and diabetes, according to a new government report.
The report said that in 2010, 21.3 percent of women and 20.1 percent of men between ages 45 and 64 had at least two chronic health conditions. In 2000, the rate among men was 15.2 percent, and among women it was 16.9 percent.
Increases were also seen in adults older than 65, with 49 percent of men and 42.5 percent of women reporting in 2010 that they had at least two chronic health conditions. In 2000, the rates were 39.2 percent of men and 35.8 percent of women.

Treatment for people with multiple chronic conditions is complex, the researchers said. By looking at trends in the rates of people with more than one condition, researchers are better able to make decisions about managing and preventing these diseases, and they can make better predictions about future health-care needs, they said.
The increases were due mainly to rises in three conditions: hypertension, diabetes and cancer, according to the report. These increases may be due to more new cases, or due to people living longer with the conditions because of advances in medical treatments.

The report also said that middle-aged adults with at least two chronic conditions had increasing difficulty, between 2000 and 2010, in getting the care and prescription drugs they needed because of cost. In 2010, 23 percent reported not receiving or delaying the medical care they needed, and 22 percent said they didn’t get the prescriptions they needed. In 2000, these rates were 17 percent and 14 percent, respectively.

The CDC does not consider obesity itself to be a health condition; rather, it is a risk factor for other conditions, such as heart disease, cancer and diabetes. The obesity rate in the U.S. increased in the United States over the past 30 years, but has leveled off in recent years, the report said.
The report is based on data gathered during the National Health Interview Survey, in which participants complete a detailed questionnaire about their health status and health-related behaviors. Participants reported whether a physician has diagnosed them with any of nine chronic health conditions: hypertension, heart disease, diabetes, cancer, stroke, chronic bronchitis, emphysema, current asthma and kidney disease.

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Filed under Survival Manual, __6. Medical, ___c) General Clinic

The eReader: A Prepper tool

(Survival Manual/7. Warehouse/The eReader: A Prepper tool)
29 April 2012, 4dtraveler.net, by Mr. Larry

[Above: Kindle with leather, lighted cover (not the 3G model mentioned below).]

 A few months ago, during December 2011, I bought a Kindle Touch 3G, eBook reader. I presently have 71 books and 9 PDF files downloaded into the Kindle, as well as 22 books archived in my free Kindle Cloud (web storage) account. The Kindle Touch comes with 4 gigabytes onboard storage, of which I’ve used 1.12 GB, leaving 2.87 GB free. Based on this information I could store between 200 and 250 books on the device. Amazon allows unlimited storage for archived literature bought from them. So, its not a really a matter of my device ever running out of the built in flash memory, I could store all my books on line and download just the one I’m reading! 

[Above: Two shelves from one of my bookcases. The top shelf has 43 books & booklets, the lower shelf has 31 books, for a total of 74 books. My Kindle currently has 71 books downloaded into its memory, or about the same number you see on two these shelves, combined. I also have 22 books, or half the top shelf, stored in Amazon’s Cloud storage, however, the number of books you can store in your free Amazon Cloud account is limitless. This visualization should bring home the value of an eReader, not only for everyday use, but as a Prepper information & general entertainment tool.]

The survival value of the Kindle and other eReaders, is that you can download numerous books into the device and read/ reference the material later.
You can also use your computer to transfer any PDF document to the Kindle. This means that besides the thousands of books that you can purchase or get free from Amazon, you can download many hundreds of free PDF documents from the Internet and place them on the Kindle. The kinds of free PDF documents that can you find for your Kindle, include everything in the PDF file format, ie., military manuals, magazines, reference sheets, etc.

I’ve set up my Kindle with categories/folders for specific information related to my interests, ie: Ecology, Fiction, Games, Economic-Financial, Literature, Reference, and Survival, etc. When I download books or PDF files to the Kindle, they are moved into those categories.
As previously mentioned, I have 22 books stored in my Kindle Cloud account, most of those were free from Amazon. A partial list of these preparedness oriented, free books includes: Agriculture for Beginners, Gas and Oil Engines, The Golden Age Cook Book, Manual of Surgery-2 volumes, How to camp Out, In Time of Emergency, Wood Craft and Camping, and more.

If you’re going out into the boonies/environment with your Kindle, I would advise carrying it in a protective sleeve and carrying the unit in a gallon size, slider type, zip lock baggie or something similar to protect it from rain; no more than you’d do for any other electronics taken to the field.

Here are a few pictures of my device:

 [Above: Kindle Touch showing a page of my ‘category’ folders.]

 

 [Above: Close up screen shot. The text you see on the screen looks just like what you see in a book, but there is no glare as you’d encounter trying to read from a LCD backlit tablet or computer monitor.]

The Kindle has many capabilities, text can be resized larger or smaller, there’s text to speech if you want to listen to your book being read by a computer voice while your doing something else, passages you want to find again can be quickly highlighted, the readers controls are accessed by touching dedicated areas on the screen, pages are turned by touching the left or rigth margin. While reading a book on your Kindle, you can also read through the pages of the digital book in the Kindle program on your computer.  From your computer you can copy the passages you previously highlighted (or any other text) and paste that text in a seperate document file; for example, if you wanted to make a copy of instructions on how to make Bannock bread, you’d just copy the text off the digital book and paste it to a text or docdument file. When you want a copy of procedural steps, or a lengthy list, this copy/paste capability is a valueable time saver. Its that easy.

The Kindle Touch 3G has a rudimentary wi-fi Web Browser that can be used to create a list of favorite websites; ie., The Weather Channel, Yahoo, WordPress blogs, ABC News, etc. The nature of the electronic ink display, does not allow video. Text and photographs are in black and white. Remember the Kindle eReaders are not tablets they use electronic ink to duplicate a book like reading experience – which works very well.  The 3G version allows you check the Amazon.com Kindle library, buy and download books, magazines or newspapers from anywhere there is 3G service.  It also play music or mp3′s. This means you can download any mp3 such as podcasts and store them on the Kindle for listening to later.

Benefits that a Kindle has for survival preparedness:
1.  It can carry an enormous amount of text (hundreds of books, or more) in a small space, and has access to your Kindle Cloud account where you may      have archived a much larger selection of purchased and free books, PDF and personal files.
2.  eReaders are very  portable and can carried in a jacket pocket, dropped into a backpack, bug out bag or carried along with your camping gear.
3.  Kindle Touch has a very long battery life – up to a month per charge. With a small sCharger-5 solar panel (see below) the unit and most, or all of your other small personal electronics can be charged (you’ll need to buy the adapters seperately, they’re not expensive.).
4.  Relatively inexpensive – the Kindle Touch model starts at $99 (wi-fi only) and goes up to $189 for the a) free 3G model, b) without advertisements.

Some of the best survival and emergency preparedness downloads for the Kindle (or buy them in paperback form):
1.  Crisis Preparedness Handbook
2.  98.6 The Art of Keeping Your Ass Alive!
3.  Where There is No Dentist
4.  Where There is No Doctor
5.  When All Hell Breaks Loose
6.  Buckshot’s Complete Survival Trapping Guide
7.  How to Survive TEOTWAWKI
8.  The Survival Retreat
9.  The Encyclopedia of Country Living
10. 5 Acres and Independence: A Handbook for Small Farm Management
11.  Bushcraft: Outdoor Skills & Wilderness Survival
12.  The Ultimate Guide to Wilderness Survival
13.  SAS Survival Handbook
14.  The Survival Handbook
15.  Surviving the Economic Collapse

[Above: The ability to read and search for information at night. Kindle Touch shown in an optional cover jacket with built in swivil-out reading lamp. The small, effective  LED lamp is powered from the Kindle’s built-in battery. Separate AA & AAA battery powered lamps for Kindle are also available.

Suntactics sCharger-5 Solar panel
$140 Amazon.com
* 5w, 1 amp, 5v output folding panel for small personal electronics
[The product description from Amazon:] “Solar Charger for iPod, iPhone, Motorola Droid, HTCs, Samsung, Android phones and most all other small electronic gadgets including GPSs, Kindles, Nooks, portable gaming devices and even USB batteries. Works very well on the iPhone 4S. It even charges the iPad in good sunny weather.This is not an ordinary small solar charger. These use high efficiency solar cells like the ones used in industrial grade solar systems.
The sCharger-5 solar charger will not only charge your device, it will run it directly from the sun. And it will last for years. Use the sCharger-5 solar charger to charge your handhelds while camping, on picnics, at the beach, by the pool, or ball games. Use it to solar charge your devices when there is no other power available. Take it hiking with you to charge that GPS device.Use it for emergency power and disaster power relief. Most of the time cell phones still work when there is no electricity. Be the only one with a fully charged phone! No power no problem. Loose your wall charger? Why not start charging from solar?…”

Carry-storage Pouch
Case Logic CDWC-24:  A 24 Capacity CD/DVD zippered, khaki Cotton Binder, used to house my sCharger-5 solar panel. The Folded panel fits iside the pouch as though they were made for one another.
$9.99 Amazon.com

The Survival Podcast Forum
Pasted from <http://thesurvivalpodcast.com/forum/index.php?topic=23796.0>
Several members discussing the value of  e-Reader in their prep:
•  I keep PDF’s of owners manuals for equipment that I own on it. Most are available online as a download. If not, I scan them and save them as a PDF.
•  I scan magazine articles and put them on the Nook, especially if there are only one or two articles I want to save from a magazine. This works well for recipes, and Sis saves knitting patterns on hers. This cuts down on the stack of magazines lying around, the articles can be backed up and indexed, and also viewed on my laptop. I can then pass the magazine on to other people. I do not keep any secure information on my Nook, so I dont worry about OPSEC with it. If I loose it or break it I only loose the device, my information is backed up on my laptop and my external hard drive.
•  I can see having a kindle for a number of reasons – but having the paper option as well.
One reason I came up with the question is when looking at say a cook book. Do you get the Kindle version or go with the paper version. Both versions you can hand write the recipe on paper,.. But the Paper version I can have cut down and then scan to PDF which I have done to other books and could create own e-book using mobiPocket.
•  I have many megabytes of books, papers, threads, etc – such as the NATO Emergency War Surgery Handbook, Where there is no Doctor, several FM21 series manuals, and much more. I just have a (non-service based) reader on a pocket computer. My notebook computer is connected to the internet, but I try not to allow any service to dictate what I am allowed to have (or not to have) on my computer.
•  If a wildland fire rolls through my neighborhood, I want a way to check e-mails, update facebook, keep my calendar, have my phone directory, watch videos, read books, stream movies (netflix), view google maps, read news stories, listen to  music… and any hotel room with WiFi can do all that for me without having to lug around a laptop. A Kindle, i-Pad, or other device offers some of these same features or in some cases, more. While I still keep a new book in my car at all times, just in case, I also keep a AA battery and lighter charger in the glove box. Even without wifi, there’s plenty of features that make it worth keeping at my side 24/7. An i-Phone or Droid would do all that and more, so there’s lots of valuable technology that’s worth considering as part of your EDC.
•  I have a Sony E Reader and am quite fond of it. I carry a number of survival/prepper books on it, but the true be told I don’t like reading or using reference books on it. It takes longer to find stuff as you can’t just flip through. It will work in a pinch but I prefer paper for reference work. I do have all my member’s brigade ebboks loaded on it. It works great for general reading. It is light and good battery life. I tend to always carry mine and figure it is part of my preps as a great many normal emergencies involve being stranded for periods of time. If I got stranded in a airport due to storms, my ereader is going to be one of my best pieces of kit.
I am military and have spend a good deal of time sitting on my ruck waiting for transport over the last year or so, the ereader has made my life better when times got bad and even when it did not. Note my Sony is not linked directly to the store, like the kindle, so I can’t buy books without my computer and the internet, on the other hand they can’t remove or change a book I have bought.
•  I have converted a number of PDFs and other docs of interest to kindle format and copied them over. Google “MobiPocket Creator” for a pretty decent Windows app to do this. Some files may be encrypted, though I haven’t investigated the mechanism (shared key, etc.)
A few weeks back, I sucked down dozens of those survival genre PDFs (army field manuals, construction plans, first aid, etc.) and batch converted them to kindle for save keeping. Collectively they take little space. In this way, not only may I view them on a kindle, but it’s also a storage device which I can later copy back to another PC.
The battery life is superb compared to using a smart phone, and it charges via USB, so a 12 volt power source and a USB car adapter is the only requirement for long term grid down use.

(end of post)

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There’s No Tomorrow (2012)

(4dtraveler/Podcast & Video)
Posted 17 February 2012.

A very interesting and well done video on energy (Peak Oil), food production, population, and the big issues facing the world.

[Click the following YouTube link to see the video.]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VOMWzjrRiBg

The first production by http://www.incubatepictures.com/: A 34 minute animated documentary about resource depletion and the impossibility of infinite growth on a finite planet.

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